Germany will need to import around 50% to 70% of its hydrogen demand, forecast at 95 to 130 TWh in 2030.
Germany will have to import up to 70% of its hydrogen demand in the future as Europe’s largest economy aims to become climate-neutral by 2045, an updated government strategy published showed.
The German cabinet approved a new hydrogen strategy, setting guidelines for hydrogen production, transport infrastructure and market plans.
Germany is seeking to expand reliance on hydrogen as a future energy source to cut greenhouse emissions for highly polluting industrial sectors that cannot be electrified such as steel and chemicals and cut dependency on imported fossil fuel.
Produced using solar and wind power, green hydrogen is a pillar of Berlin’s plan to transition away from fossil fuels.
But even with doubling the country’s domestic electrolysis capacity target for 2030 to at least 10 gigawatts (GW), Germany will need to import around 50% to 70% of its hydrogen demand, forecast at 95 to 130 TWh in 2030, the strategy showed.
The document said:
A domestic supply that fully covers demand does not make economic sense or serve the transformation processes resulting from the energy transition as a whole.
The strategy underscores the importance of diversifying future hydrogen sources but the government is working on a separate strategy for hydrogen imports whose exact date is not clear, a spokesperson for the economy ministry said.
Simone Peter, the head of Germany’s renewable energy association, said:
Instead of relying on domestic potential for the production of green hydrogen, the federal government’s strategy is primarily aimed at imports by ship.
Under the strategy, state aid is expected to be approved for around 2.5 GW of electrolysis projects in Germany this year and the government will earmark 700 million euros ($775 million) for hydrogen research to optimise production methods, research minister Bettina Stark-Watzinger said.
But Germany’s limited renewable energy space will make it heavily dependent on imported hydrogen, experts say.
Philipp Heilmaier, an energy transition researcher at Germany energy agency, told Reuters:
Germany is a densely populated country.
“We simply need space for wind and photovoltaic to be able to produce the hydrogen.”
The strategy allows the usage of hydrogen produced through fossil energy sources preferably if the carbon is split off, but said direct government subsidies would be limited to green hydrogen.
Funds for launching a hydrogen network with more than 1,800 km of pipelines in Germany are expected to flow by 2027/2028 through the bloc’s Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI) financing scheme, with the goal of connecting all major generation, import and storage centres to customers by 2030.
Transport Minister Volker Wissing said his ministry was working on plans for a network of hydrogen filling stations and for renewable fuel subsidies.
Environmental groups said the strategy lacked binding sustainability criteria and restriction on using hydrogen for sectors that cannot be electrified instead of using it for private heating or in cars, calling for a plan to eventually phase-out blue hydrogen which is produced from natural gas.
Germany has already signed several hydrogen cooperation agreements with countries such as Canada, Norway, United Arab Emirates and Australia.
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Germany’s updated hydrogen strategy sees heavy reliance on imported fuel in future, Berlin, July 26, 2023